Tennis · WTA Toronto · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Janice Tjen vs Ludmilla Samsonova
Team pages: Janice Tjen · Ludmilla Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Janice Tjen
Ludmilla Samsonova
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Janice Tjen
5-5 (W-L)
Ludmilla Samsonova
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Janice Tjen
0–2
Ludmilla Samsonova
(2 last)
- 24 Apr0-2 3-12L
- 03 Feb0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Janice Tjen 1442 · Ludmilla Samsonova 1516
| Janice Tjen | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ludmilla Samsonova (rating 1442 vs 1516).
- Head-to-head: Janice Tjen 0–2 Ludmilla Samsonova (2).
- Note: Ludmilla Samsonova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Janice Tjen | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 29% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-12.5 | 12.5-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 26.3% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.4
Over 21.5: 60% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 40% · 1.80
H2H · Janice Tjen 0 – 2 Ludmilla Samsonova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Janice Tjen 0–2 Ludmilla Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 WTA Madrid | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/02/26 WTA Abu Dhabi | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Janice Tjen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Daria Kasatkina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 15/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Greet Minnen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nao Hibino WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Emma Navarro French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ludmilla Samsonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Xinyu Wang WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Madison Keys WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Diana Shnaider Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Harriet Dart WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Janice Tjen vs Ludmilla Samsonova?
Our model gives 62% to Ludmilla Samsonova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.