Tennis · WTA Toronto · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Karolina Pliskova
Team pages: Oleksandra Oliynykova · Karolina Pliskova
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Karolina Pliskova
Estimated games
22.1Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandra Oliynykova
6-4 (W-L)
Karolina Pliskova
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1525 · Karolina Pliskova 1524
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | Karolina Pliskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Karolina Pliskova dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 56.8% break avg.
- Note: Karolina Pliskova makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | Karolina Pliskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.8 | 11-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 50.4% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 42% | 56.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.6
Over 19.5: 68% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 32% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Nastasja Schunk WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Elena Pridankina WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Ipek Oz WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/06 | McCartney Kessler Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Sofia Johnson WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Karolina Pliskova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tereza Valentova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Caty McNally WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Sara Bejlek WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Donna Vekic WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Marina Bassols Ribera French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Yeon Woo Ku French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Karolina Pliskova?
Our model gives 63% to Karolina Pliskova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.