Tennis · WTA Toronto · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Rebecca Marino vs Zeynep Sonmez
Team pages: Rebecca Marino · Zeynep Sonmez
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebecca Marino
Zeynep Sonmez
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rebecca Marino
7-3 (W-L)
Zeynep Sonmez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebecca Marino 1536 · Zeynep Sonmez 1511
| Rebecca Marino | Zeynep Sonmez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Rebecca Marino dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 48.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Rebecca Marino | Zeynep Sonmez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.2 | 12.7-12.7 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.7
Over 21.5: 62% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 38% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebecca Marino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Kayla Cross W75 Granby |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Kira Matushkina W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Tatjana Maria WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Ana Sofia Sanchez WTA Guadalajara 125K · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Zeynep Sonmez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Cadence Brace WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Ann Li Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Harriet Dart WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebecca Marino vs Zeynep Sonmez?
Our model gives 60% to Zeynep Sonmez, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.