Tennis · WTA Toronto · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Carol Zhao vs Magda Linette
Team pages: Carol Zhao · Magda Linette
Prediction summary
Winner
Carol Zhao
Magda Linette
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 17.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carol Zhao
2-8 (W-L)
Magda Linette
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carol Zhao 1430 · Magda Linette 1497
| Carol Zhao | Magda Linette | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Magda Linette (rating 1430 vs 1497).
- Note: Carol Zhao makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Carol Zhao | Magda Linette | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.7 | 11-10.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 17.5 · +5
Over 17.5: 81% · 1.80
Under 17.5: 19% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carol Zhao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Emerson Jones WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Justina Mikulskyte Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Celine Naef WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Katarina Zavatska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Yidi Yang WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/05 | Peangtarn Plipuech WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/04 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Huzhou · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Lin Zhu W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Kyoka Okamura W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Magda Linette
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mirra Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Mia Pohankova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Jelena Ostapenko French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Tereza Valentova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carol Zhao vs Magda Linette?
Our model gives 73% to Magda Linette, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.