Tennis · WTA Toronto · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace
Team pages: McCartney Kessler · Cadence Brace
Prediction summary
Winner
McCartney Kessler
Cadence Brace
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 17.5
Recent form · 10 last
McCartney Kessler
4-6 (W-L)
Cadence Brace
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · McCartney Kessler 1479 · Cadence Brace 1440
| McCartney Kessler | Cadence Brace | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 85% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| McCartney Kessler | Cadence Brace | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 43% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.3 | 9.4-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 17.5 · +4.8
Over 17.5: 80% · 1.72
Under 17.5: 20% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
McCartney Kessler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Oleksandra Oliynykova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Hanyu Guo French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Cadence Brace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Erika Sema W75 Granby |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Mio Mushika W75 Granby |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Mia Slama W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Raphaelle Lacasse W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace?
Our model gives 72% to McCartney Kessler, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.