Tennis · WTA Toronto · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams
Team pages: Kamilla Rakhimova · Venus Williams
Prediction summary
Winner
Kamilla Rakhimova
Venus Williams
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kamilla Rakhimova
2-8 (W-L)
Venus Williams
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamilla Rakhimova 1461 · Venus Williams 1375
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Venus Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kamilla Rakhimova (rating 1461 vs 1375).
- Kamilla Rakhimova is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Kamilla Rakhimova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
- Note: Venus Williams makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Venus Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.4-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.5 | 9.1-14.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.5
Over 20.5: 67% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 33% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamilla Rakhimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Heather Watson WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Anhelina Kalinina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Harriet Dart WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Karolina Muchova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Venus Williams
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/04 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Francesca Jones WTA Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/03 | Diane Parry WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/02 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/01 | Olga Danilovic Australian Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/01 | Tatjana Maria WTA Hobart · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Magda Linette WTA Auckland · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/12 | Madison Keys Others · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams?
Our model gives 67% to Kamilla Rakhimova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.