Tennis · WTA Toronto · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Nikola Bartunkova vs Bianca Andreescu
Team pages: Nikola Bartunkova · Bianca Andreescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Bartunkova
Bianca Andreescu
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Bartunkova
7-3 (W-L)
Bianca Andreescu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Bartunkova 1508 · Bianca Andreescu 1510
| Nikola Bartunkova | Bianca Andreescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Nikola Bartunkova dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 40.5% break avg.
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Bartunkova | Bianca Andreescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.7-13 | 11.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 9.7 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 33.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.3
Over 22.5: 66% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 34% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Bartunkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Peyton Stearns Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Diana Shnaider WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Bianca Andreescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Shuai Zhang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Jil Teichmann Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Polona Hercog Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Viktoria Hruncakova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/05 | Belinda Bencic WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Sofia Kenin WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/04 | Yue Yuan WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Bartunkova vs Bianca Andreescu?
Our model gives 53% to Nikola Bartunkova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.