Tennis · WTA Toronto · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Peyton Stearns
Team pages: Elena-Gabriela Ruse · Peyton Stearns
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Peyton Stearns
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
5-5 (W-L)
Peyton Stearns
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
1–0
Peyton Stearns
(1 last)
- 14 Feb2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena-Gabriela Ruse 1549 · Peyton Stearns 1496
| Elena-Gabriela Ruse | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena-Gabriela Ruse (rating 1549 vs 1496).
- Head-to-head: Elena-Gabriela Ruse 1–0 Peyton Stearns (1).
- Note: Elena-Gabriela Ruse makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Elena-Gabriela Ruse | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.2 | 10.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.6
Over 22.5: 46% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 54% · 1.80
H2H · Elena-Gabriela Ruse 1 – 0 Peyton Stearns (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elena-Gabriela Ruse 1–0 Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 WTA Dubai | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Caty McNally Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Taylor Townsend WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Emily Appleton WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Belinda Bencic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Daria Snigur French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Sofia Kenin French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Peyton Stearns?
Our model gives 51% to Elena-Gabriela Ruse, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.