Tennis · ATP Montreal · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Alexis Galarneau vs Vit Kopriva
Team pages: Alexis Galarneau · Vit Kopriva
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexis Galarneau
Vit Kopriva
Estimated games
25.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alexis Galarneau
6-4 (W-L)
Vit Kopriva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexis Galarneau 1513 · Vit Kopriva 1470
| Alexis Galarneau | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexis Galarneau (rating 1513 vs 1470).
- Alexis Galarneau is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexis Galarneau | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.8 | 12.4-14 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexis Galarneau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Vit Kopriva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Ignacio Buse ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Dino Prizmic ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jan Choinski Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexander Zverev ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Martin Landaluce French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 21-22 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexis Galarneau vs Vit Kopriva?
Our model gives 50% to Alexis Galarneau, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.