Tennis · WTA Toronto · 01/08, 18:30
Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Isabella Marton
Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Isabella Marton
Prediction summary
Winner
Tatjana Maria
Isabella Marton
Estimated games
20.4Bet365 line 17.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria
7-3 (W-L)
Isabella Marton
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1580 · Isabella Marton 1534
| Tatjana Maria | Isabella Marton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 93% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatjana Maria (rating 1580 vs 1534).
Statistics
| Tatjana Maria | Isabella Marton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-6.9 | 10.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4 · Bet365 line 17.5 · +2.9
Over 17.5: 70% · 2.10
Under 17.5: 30% · 1.66
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatjana Maria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Talia Gibson WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Olivia Lincer WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Yulia Putintseva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Isabella Marton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Thara Gowda W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Nadia Lagaev W75 Granby |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Josie Usereau W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Ana Grubor W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Hephzibah Oluwadare W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Julie Adele Bedard W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Isabella Marton?
Our model gives 76% to Tatjana Maria, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.