Tennis · WTA Toronto · 01/08, 17:00
Prediction: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lin Zhu
Team pages: Leolia Jeanjean · Lin Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Leolia Jeanjean
Lin Zhu
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Leolia Jeanjean
4-6 (W-L)
Lin Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leolia Jeanjean 1550 · Lin Zhu 1521
| Leolia Jeanjean | Lin Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Leolia Jeanjean makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Leolia Jeanjean | Lin Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.6 | 11.2-10 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 65% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.8
Over 21.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 38% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leolia Jeanjean
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Veronika Erjavec Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Xiaodi You Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Lin Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Teodora Kostovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Mona Barthel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/06 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/04 | Valentina Ryser W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/04 | Eri Shimizu W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/04 | Hayu Kinoshita W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leolia Jeanjean vs Lin Zhu?
Our model gives 50% to Leolia Jeanjean, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.