Tennis · WTA Toronto · 01/08, 17:00
Prediction: Emiliana Arango vs Lois Boisson
Team pages: Emiliana Arango · Lois Boisson
Prediction summary
Winner
Emiliana Arango
Lois Boisson
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Emiliana Arango
4-6 (W-L)
Lois Boisson
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emiliana Arango 1468 · Lois Boisson 1437
| Emiliana Arango | Lois Boisson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Emiliana Arango | Lois Boisson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11 | 10-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.8
Over 22.5: 45% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 55% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emiliana Arango
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Lea Nilsson WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Maya Joint WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/06 | Sofia Johnson WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Alycia Parks WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Anna Bondar WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Marina Bassols Ribera French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Lois Boisson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Victoria Mboko WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Xinyu Wang WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Dominika Salkova WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 06/05 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Peyton Stearns WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emiliana Arango vs Lois Boisson?
Our model gives 54% to Emiliana Arango, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.