Tennis · ATP Montreal · 01/08, 16:30
Prediction: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori
Team pages: Michael Zheng · Kei Nishikori
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Zheng
Kei Nishikori
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Kei Nishikori
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michael Zheng
0–1
Kei Nishikori
(1 last)
- 18 Jun0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Zheng 1543 · Kei Nishikori 1492
| Michael Zheng | Kei Nishikori | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Zheng (rating 1543 vs 1492).
- Head-to-head: Michael Zheng 0–1 Kei Nishikori (1).
Statistics
| Michael Zheng | Kei Nishikori | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.8-13.6 | 12.3-12.6 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 70% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
H2H · Michael Zheng 0 – 1 Kei Nishikori (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michael Zheng 0–1 Kei Nishikori
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/23 Challenger Palmas del Mar | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Martin Landaluce ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 29/06 | Cameron Norrie Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
Kei Nishikori
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Juncheng Shang ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 22/04 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 21/04 | Colton Smith Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/04 | Yibing Wu Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/04 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/03 | Clement Tabur Challenger Cherbourg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/03 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Thionville · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/03 | Clement Tabur Challenger Thionville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/03 | Jelle Sels Challenger Thionville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori?
Our model gives 58% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.