Tennis · ATP Montreal · 01/08, 21:30

Prediction: Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguet

Team pages: Dalibor Svrcina · Titouan Droguet

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Dalibor Svrcina Titouan Droguet
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Dalibor Svrcina 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLWLLLL
Titouan Droguet 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalibor Svrcina 1504 · Titouan Droguet 1559
Dalibor SvrcinaTitouan Droguet
Our model42%58%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Titouan Droguet (rating 1504 vs 1559).
  • Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Dalibor SvrcinaTitouan Droguet
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.4-0.9
Games (G-P)12.6-11.810.8-9.7
Aces2.54
Double faults5.92.7
1st serve %65.1%69.1%
Break %56.7%39.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalibor Svrcina

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/07 Denis Shapovalov
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Adam Walton
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
14/07 Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Bastad · Clay
1-2 16-14 L
08/07 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
07/07 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
29/06 Learner Tien
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 15-24 L
19/06 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Poznan · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
18/06 Gonzalo Bueno
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
15/06 Duje Ajdukovic
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Titouan Droguet

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Hugo Gaston
ATP Estoril · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
20/07 Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 15-10 W
16/07 Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Umag · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Luca Van Assche
ATP Umag · Clay
2-1 14-12 W
14/07 Alexander Blockx
ATP Umag · Clay
2-1 15-8 W
12/07 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Iasi · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
11/07 Valentin Royer
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/07 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/07 Luka Pavlovic
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
07/07 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguet?

Our model gives 58% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.