Tennis · ATP Montreal · 01/08, 18:00
Prediction: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barrios Vera
Team pages: Aleksandar Vukic · Tomas Barrios Vera
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Vukic
Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Vukic
8-2 (W-L)
Tomas Barrios Vera
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aleksandar Vukic
0–3
Tomas Barrios Vera
(3 last)
- 17 Mar0-2 9-13L
- 22 Oct1-2 10-15L
- 17 Jun0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Vukic 1581 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1454
| Aleksandar Vukic | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandar Vukic (rating 1581 vs 1454).
- Aleksandar Vukic dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 40% break avg.
- Aleksandar Vukic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Aleksandar Vukic 0–3 Tomas Barrios Vera (3).
Statistics
| Aleksandar Vukic | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10 | 13.2-14.6 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 11.8 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 40% | 34.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Aleksandar Vukic 0 – 3 Tomas Barrios Vera (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aleksandar Vukic 0–3 Tomas Barrios Vera
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 ATP Miami | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10/19 Challenger Traralgon | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/06/18 Challenger Blois Qual | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Vukic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Bolt ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 19/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Tomas Barrios Vera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 24-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Paul Jubb Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Marco Cecchinato Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Luka Pavlovic French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Harold Mayot French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model gives 61% to Aleksandar Vukic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.