Tennis · ATP Montreal · 01/08, 16:30
Prediction: Martin Damm vs Henrique Rocha
Team pages: Martin Damm · Henrique Rocha
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Damm
Henrique Rocha
Estimated games
24.9
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Damm
5-5 (W-L)
Henrique Rocha
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Martin Damm
1–1
Henrique Rocha
(2 last)
- 13 Aug1-2 13-15L
- 24 Feb2-1 14-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Damm 1515 · Henrique Rocha 1480
| Martin Damm | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Martin Damm dominates on serve: 10.4 aces and 50.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Martin Damm | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-13 | 11.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 10.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9
H2H · Martin Damm 1 – 1 Henrique Rocha (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Martin Damm 1–1 Henrique Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/25 Challenger Sumter | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/02/23 M25 Faro | 2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Damm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/07 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Arthur Rinderknech Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Marco Trungelliti Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 27-25 | W |
| 16/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Jaume Munar ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Henrique Rocha
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Damm vs Henrique Rocha?
Our model gives 63% to Martin Damm, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.