Tennis · ATP Montreal · 01/08, 18:00
Prediction: Adam Walton vs Justin Boulais
Team pages: Adam Walton · Justin Boulais
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Walton
Justin Boulais
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Walton
8-2 (W-L)
Justin Boulais
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Walton 1512 · Justin Boulais 1468
| Adam Walton | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adam Walton (rating 1512 vs 1468).
Statistics
| Adam Walton | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-13.9 | 11.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 25% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Walton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dino Prizmic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Justin Boulais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Connor Church Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Walton vs Justin Boulais?
Our model gives 73% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.