Tennis · ATP Montreal · 01/08, 19:30
Prediction: Hugo Gaston vs Duncan Chan
Team pages: Hugo Gaston · Duncan Chan
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Gaston
Duncan Chan
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Gaston
5-5 (W-L)
Duncan Chan
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Gaston 1549 · Duncan Chan 1494
| Hugo Gaston | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Gaston (rating 1549 vs 1494).
Statistics
| Hugo Gaston | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.1 | 11.2-12.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Gaston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 10/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
Duncan Chan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | James McCabe Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Nicola Ion M25 Laval |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ryan Colby M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Gaston vs Duncan Chan?
Our model gives 67% to Hugo Gaston, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.