Tennis · ATP Montreal · 01/08, 16:30
Prediction: Alexander Shevchenko vs Kyrian Jacquet
Team pages: Alexander Shevchenko · Kyrian Jacquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Shevchenko
Kyrian Jacquet
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Shevchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Kyrian Jacquet
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Shevchenko
3–0
Kyrian Jacquet
(3 last)
- 17 Nov2-0 12-3W
- 15 Nov2-0 12-3W
- 20 Feb2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Shevchenko 1517 · Kyrian Jacquet 1508
| Alexander Shevchenko | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kyrian Jacquet dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 42.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Shevchenko 3–0 Kyrian Jacquet (3).
Statistics
| Alexander Shevchenko | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12 | 13.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
H2H · Alexander Shevchenko 3 – 0 Kyrian Jacquet (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Shevchenko 3–0 Kyrian Jacquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/21 Challenger Helsinki | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/11/21 Challenger Helsinki | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/02/20 M15 Heraklion | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Shevchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Kyrian Jacquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Shevchenko vs Kyrian Jacquet?
Our model gives 53% to Kyrian Jacquet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.