Tennis · ATP Montreal · 01/08, 16:30
Prediction: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Team pages: Marcos Giron · Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcos Giron
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Estimated games
26.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marcos Giron
4-6 (W-L)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcos Giron 1484 · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1489
| Marcos Giron | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marcos Giron | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 43% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-14.5 | 12.4-13.2 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcos Giron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Andre Ilagan ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/07 | Aryan Shah ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Quentin Halys Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Corentin Moutet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 22/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 20/06 | Charles Broom ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 24/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dan Added Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Our model gives 60% to Marcos Giron, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.