Tennis · ATP Montreal · 01/08, 19:30
Prediction: Jaime Faria vs Christopher O'Connell
Team pages: Jaime Faria · Christopher O'Connell
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaime Faria
Christopher O'Connell
Estimated games
26.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jaime Faria
8-2 (W-L)
Christopher O'Connell
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaime Faria 1551 · Christopher O'Connell 1566
| Jaime Faria | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 51.1% break avg.
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Jaime Faria | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (5) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.7-13.6 | 13.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 9.8 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 81.6% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaime Faria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-19 | W |
| 25/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 24/06 | Luka Pavlovic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Hugo Grenier Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Christopher O'Connell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joel Schwaerzler Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaime Faria vs Christopher O'Connell?
Our model gives 57% to Jaime Faria, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.