Tennis · ATP Montreal · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Juncheng Shang
Team pages: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · Juncheng Shang
Prediction summary
Winner
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Juncheng Shang
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
4-6 (W-L)
Juncheng Shang
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1485 · Juncheng Shang 1438
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Juncheng Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (rating 1485 vs 1438).
Statistics
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Juncheng Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-14.4 | 10.9-13.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 20.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Miguel Damas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-24 | L |
| 21/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Moise Kouame French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-25 | L |
| 17/05 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Juncheng Shang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Kei Nishikori ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/02 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Dubai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Doha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/01 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Australian Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 19/01 | Roberto Bautista-Agut Australian Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 09/01 | Alexander Bublik ATP Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/01 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/01 | Francisco Comesana ATP Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/12 | Yibing Wu Others · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/12 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Others · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Juncheng Shang?
Our model gives 52% to Juncheng Shang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.