Tennis · ATP Montreal · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges
Team pages: Aleksandar Kovacevic · Nuno Borges
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Nuno Borges
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Kovacevic
2-8 (W-L)
Nuno Borges
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aleksandar Kovacevic
1–0
Nuno Borges
(1 last)
- 15 Oct2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1418 · Nuno Borges 1533
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nuno Borges (rating 1418 vs 1533).
- Nuno Borges is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Aleksandar Kovacevic 1–0 Nuno Borges (1).
- Note: Aleksandar Kovacevic makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 17% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-14.6 | 12.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 6 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 75.8% |
| Break % | 17% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
H2H · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1 – 0 Nuno Borges (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1–0 Nuno Borges
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/23 Challenger Shenzhen | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Michael Mmoh ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/05 | Rafael Jodar French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 22/05 | Ignacio Buse ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Orlando Luz ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Moise Kouame ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 16-20 | L |
| 29/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Luciano Darderi ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges?
Our model gives 68% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.