Tennis · WTA Toronto · 01/08, 20:00
Prediction: Polina Kudermetova vs Avery Alexander
Team pages: Polina Kudermetova · Avery Alexander
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Kudermetova
Avery Alexander
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 16.5
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kudermetova
2-8 (W-L)
Avery Alexander
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kudermetova 1513 · Avery Alexander 1478
| Polina Kudermetova | Avery Alexander | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kudermetova | Avery Alexander | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.5 | 9.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 16.5 · +5.3
Over 16.5: 82% · 1.72
Under 16.5: 18% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kudermetova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/07 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Liv Boulard WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Clervie Ngounoue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Jessika Ponchet Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Avery Alexander
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Miho Kuramochi WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Martina Okalova WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Miho Kuramochi W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Martyna Ostrzygalo W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Erika Sema W75 Granby |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Olivia Lincer W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Scarlett Nicholson W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/03 | Catherine Rennard W15 Victoriaville |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/03 | Jada Robinson W15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Viktoria Hruncakova ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kudermetova vs Avery Alexander?
Our model gives 76% to Polina Kudermetova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.