Tennis · WTA Toronto · 01/08, 18:30
Prediction: Moyuka Uchijima vs Himeno Sakatsume
Team pages: Moyuka Uchijima · Himeno Sakatsume
Prediction summary
Winner
Moyuka Uchijima
Himeno Sakatsume
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moyuka Uchijima
1-9 (W-L)
Himeno Sakatsume
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moyuka Uchijima 1455 · Himeno Sakatsume 1476
| Moyuka Uchijima | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Moyuka Uchijima makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Moyuka Uchijima | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (1) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-14 | 10.4-12 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.8
Over 22.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 38% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moyuka Uchijima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 29/07 | Miho Kuramochi WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Esther Adeshina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Alycia Parks WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Kaja Juvan WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Fiona Crawley W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moyuka Uchijima vs Himeno Sakatsume?
Our model gives 52% to Moyuka Uchijima, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.