Tennis · WTA Toronto · 01/08, 18:30
Prediction: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng
Team pages: Lanlana Tararudee · Qinwen Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Lanlana Tararudee
Qinwen Zheng
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lanlana Tararudee
7-3 (W-L)
Qinwen Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lanlana Tararudee 1579 · Qinwen Zheng 1482
| Lanlana Tararudee | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lanlana Tararudee (rating 1579 vs 1482).
- Lanlana Tararudee is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Lanlana Tararudee | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.7 | 11.8-12.5 |
| Aces | 4 | 9.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.5
Over 21.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 39% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lanlana Tararudee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 21/07 | Jana Kovackova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Ekaterina Alexandrova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Lilli Tagger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Micic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Maria Sakkari WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zheng?
Our model gives 51% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.