Tennis · ATP Montreal · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper
Team pages: Terence Atmane · Jack Draper
Prediction summary
Winner
Terence Atmane
Jack Draper
Estimated games
26.2
Recent form · 10 last
Terence Atmane
4-6 (W-L)
Jack Draper
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Terence Atmane 1435 · Jack Draper 1531
| Terence Atmane | Jack Draper | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Draper (rating 1435 vs 1531).
- Jack Draper is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Terence Atmane | Jack Draper | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 20% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-16.7 | 12.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 18.5% | 29.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Terence Atmane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Frances Tiafoe Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Thanasi Kokkinakis French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 23-29 | L |
| 18/05 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Jack Draper
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/03 | Reilly Opelka ATP Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/03 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/03 | Novak Djokovic ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 09/03 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/03 | Roberto Bautista-Agut ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/02 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Dubai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper?
Our model gives 62% to Jack Draper, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.