Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 19/07, 12:00
Prediction: Martyna Kubka vs Justina Mikulskyte
Prediction summary
Winner
Martyna Kubka
Justina Mikulskyte
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martyna Kubka
8-2 (W-L)
Justina Mikulskyte
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martyna Kubka 1614 · Justina Mikulskyte 1535
| Martyna Kubka | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martyna Kubka (rating 1614 vs 1535).
- Martyna Kubka dominates on serve: 6 aces and 44.1% break avg.
- Martyna Kubka is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Justina Mikulskyte makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Martyna Kubka | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9 | 8.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martyna Kubka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Kira Pavlova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Han Shi W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Chloe Noel W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Jimena Gomez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/07 | Valentina Ryser W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Georgina Hays W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Anna Shkutova W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Alina Korneeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Justina Mikulskyte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Valeria Savinykh W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Maria Golovina W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Liv Boulard W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Carol Zhao Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Alicia Herrero Linana W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Sofia Costoulas W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 22/05 | Caroline Werner W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martyna Kubka vs Justina Mikulskyte?
Our model gives 70% to Martyna Kubka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.