Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 17/07, 12:00
Prediction: Katarina Kuzmova vs Kira Pavlova
Prediction summary
Winner
Katarina Kuzmova
Kira Pavlova
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Katarina Kuzmova
7-3 (W-L)
Kira Pavlova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katarina Kuzmova
1–0
Kira Pavlova
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katarina Kuzmova 1524 · Kira Pavlova 1473
| Katarina Kuzmova | Kira Pavlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katarina Kuzmova (rating 1524 vs 1473).
- Head-to-head: Katarina Kuzmova 1–0 Kira Pavlova (1).
- Note: Katarina Kuzmova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
- Note: Kira Pavlova makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Katarina Kuzmova | Kira Pavlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.5 | 9.6-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 51% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Katarina Kuzmova 1 – 0 Kira Pavlova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katarina Kuzmova 1–0 Kira Pavlova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 W50 Croissy-Beaubourg | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katarina Kuzmova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Kateryna Lazarenko W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Ariana Arseneault W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Kira Pavlova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Zoziya Kardava W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Francisca Jorge W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Gabriela Agra Amorim W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Yidi Yang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Varvara Panshina W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Matilde Mariani W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Gaia Squarcialupi W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/05 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katarina Kuzmova vs Kira Pavlova?
Our model gives 56% to Katarina Kuzmova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.