Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Maria Golovina vs Justina Mikulskyte
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Golovina
Justina Mikulskyte
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Golovina
5-5 (W-L)
Justina Mikulskyte
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Golovina
0–1
Justina Mikulskyte
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Golovina 1534 · Justina Mikulskyte 1501
| Maria Golovina | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maria Golovina 0–1 Justina Mikulskyte (1).
- Note: Maria Golovina makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Justina Mikulskyte makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Maria Golovina | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10 | 9-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 55.1% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Maria Golovina 0 – 1 Justina Mikulskyte (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Golovina 0–1 Justina Mikulskyte
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/25 ITF W50 La Marsa | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Golovina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Melisa Ercan W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Ryser W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Rositsa Dencheva W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Victoria Bosio W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Sara Victoria Balan W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Eszter Meri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Yujia Huang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 28/05 | JiaYi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Justina Mikulskyte
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Liv Boulard W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Carol Zhao Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Alicia Herrero Linana W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Sofia Costoulas W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 22/05 | Caroline Werner W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Salma Drugdova W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Golovina vs Justina Mikulskyte?
Our model gives 57% to Maria Golovina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.