Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 18/07, 12:00
Prediction: Martyna Kubka vs Kira Pavlova
Prediction summary
Winner
Martyna Kubka
Kira Pavlova
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Martyna Kubka
7-3 (W-L)
Kira Pavlova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Martyna Kubka
1–0
Kira Pavlova
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martyna Kubka 1614 · Kira Pavlova 1493
| Martyna Kubka | Kira Pavlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martyna Kubka (rating 1614 vs 1493).
- Head-to-head: Martyna Kubka 1–0 Kira Pavlova (1).
- Note: Kira Pavlova makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Martyna Kubka | Kira Pavlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.8 | 9.6-8.4 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Martyna Kubka 1 – 0 Kira Pavlova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Martyna Kubka 1–0 Kira Pavlova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/25 W35 Heraklion | 2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martyna Kubka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Han Shi W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Chloe Noel W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Jimena Gomez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/07 | Valentina Ryser W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Georgina Hays W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Anna Shkutova W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Alina Korneeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Polina Iatcenko W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Kira Pavlova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Zoziya Kardava W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Francisca Jorge W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Gabriela Agra Amorim W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Yidi Yang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Varvara Panshina W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Matilde Mariani W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Gaia Squarcialupi W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martyna Kubka vs Kira Pavlova?
Our model gives 71% to Martyna Kubka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.