Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 17/07, 14:00
Prediction: Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Valeria Savinykh
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Martinez Vaquero
Valeria Savinykh
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Martinez Vaquero
7-3 (W-L)
Valeria Savinykh
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Martinez Vaquero 1513 · Valeria Savinykh 1463
| Maria Martinez Vaquero | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Martinez Vaquero (rating 1513 vs 1463).
- Note: Maria Martinez Vaquero makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Maria Martinez Vaquero | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.5 | 7.9-11 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Martinez Vaquero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Nahia Berecoechea W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Allura Zamarripa WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Shuo Feng WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Yeon Woo Ku W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Manon Leonard W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Valentina Losciale W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Aran Teixido Garcia W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Delia Gaillard W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Valeria Savinykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Hina Inoue W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Celia Anson Sanchez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Ankita Raina W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Marina Davtyan W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/04 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Luzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/04 | Ma Ruoxi W35 Luzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 29/03 | Aliona Falei W100 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Kristiana Sidorova W35 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Valeria Savinykh?
Our model gives 61% to Maria Martinez Vaquero, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.