Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 17/07, 12:00

Prediction: Martyna Kubka vs Han Shi

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Martyna Kubka Han Shi
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Martyna Kubka 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLWW
Han Shi 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Martyna Kubka 1563 · Han Shi 1599
Martyna KubkaHan Shi
Our model45%55%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Martyna Kubka dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 43.1% break avg.
  • Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Martyna KubkaHan Shi
Win %70%90%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 100% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.8-0.6
Games (G-P)11.7-8.212.8-8.3
Aces6.22.2
Double faults1.24.5
1st serve %72.1%66.2%
Break %43.1%59.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Martyna Kubka

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Chloe Noel
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Jimena Gomez
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-2 W
11/07 Valentina Ryser
W35 Don Benito
0-2 7-12 L
10/07 Anastasia Bertacchi
W35 Don Benito
2-0 13-6 W
09/07 Georgina Hays
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-2 W
08/07 Anna Shkutova
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-6 W
19/06 Yeon Woo Ku
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
18/06 Alina Korneeva
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
14/06 Polina Iatcenko
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
13/06 Gabriela Knutson
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W

Han Shi

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Ruien Zhang
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-1 15-10 W
15/07 Ida Wobker
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-2 W
11/07 Xinyu Gao
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 8-13 L
10/07 Susan Bandecchi
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 14-12 W
09/07 Deniz Dilek
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 16-10 W
08/07 Gabriela Knutson
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-3 W
05/07 Matilde Jorge
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
04/07 Carol Young Suh Lee
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-1 13-12 W
03/07 Katarina Kuzmova
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
02/07 Elena Micic
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Martyna Kubka vs Han Shi?

Our model gives 50% to Martyna Kubka, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.