Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 18/07, 13:30
Prediction: Valeria Savinykh vs Justina Mikulskyte
Prediction summary
Winner
Valeria Savinykh
Justina Mikulskyte
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Valeria Savinykh
5-5 (W-L)
Justina Mikulskyte
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valeria Savinykh 1484 · Justina Mikulskyte 1517
| Valeria Savinykh | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Justina Mikulskyte makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Valeria Savinykh | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.5 | 8.9-10 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valeria Savinykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Hina Inoue W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Celia Anson Sanchez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Ankita Raina W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Marina Davtyan W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/04 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Luzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/04 | Ma Ruoxi W35 Luzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 29/03 | Aliona Falei W100 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Justina Mikulskyte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Maria Golovina W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Liv Boulard W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Carol Zhao Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Alicia Herrero Linana W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Sofia Costoulas W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 22/05 | Caroline Werner W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valeria Savinykh vs Justina Mikulskyte?
Our model gives 58% to Justina Mikulskyte, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.