Tennis · M25 Louisville · 19/07, 17:00
Prediction: Mees Rottgering vs Ozan Baris
Prediction summary
Winner
Mees Rottgering
Ozan Baris
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mees Rottgering
7-3 (W-L)
Ozan Baris
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mees Rottgering 1587 · Ozan Baris 1563
| Mees Rottgering | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mees Rottgering | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.5 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-7 | 11.7-8.4 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 51% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mees Rottgering
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Timo Legout M25 Louisville |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Lev Seidman M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Russell Lokko M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Aidan Kim M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Billy Suarez M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Peter Buldorini Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Jerry Roddick M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
Ozan Baris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Teodor Davidov M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | James Trotter Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mees Rottgering vs Ozan Baris?
Our model gives 54% to Mees Rottgering, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.