Tennis · M25 Louisville · 17/07, 17:30
Prediction: Mees Rottgering vs Evan Bynoe
Prediction summary
Winner
Mees Rottgering
Evan Bynoe
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mees Rottgering
7-3 (W-L)
Evan Bynoe
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mees Rottgering 1573 · Evan Bynoe 1473
| Mees Rottgering | Evan Bynoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mees Rottgering (rating 1573 vs 1473).
- Mees Rottgering is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Mees Rottgering makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Mees Rottgering | Evan Bynoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.5 | 9.5-9.4 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 58.1% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mees Rottgering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Lev Seidman M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Russell Lokko M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Aidan Kim M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Billy Suarez M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Peter Buldorini Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Jerry Roddick M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 25/04 | Daniel Milavsky M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/04 | Marco Alvarez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
Evan Bynoe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Dylan Long M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Eli Stephenson M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Gus Grumet M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jerry Roddick M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Andrew Fenty M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/05 | Alex Rybakov M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mees Rottgering vs Evan Bynoe?
Our model gives 77% to Mees Rottgering, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.