Tennis · M25 Louisville · 18/07, 16:00
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Aleksa Ciric
Prediction summary
Winner
Ozan Baris
Aleksa Ciric
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris
8-2 (W-L)
Aleksa Ciric
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1576 · Aleksa Ciric 1595
| Ozan Baris | Aleksa Ciric | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Aleksa Ciric | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8 | 13.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 61.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Teodor Davidov M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | James Trotter Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Aleksa Ciric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Moreno M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/05 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 20/05 | AJ Deem UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Nick Hardt M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 10/05 | Santiago Perez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Aleksa Ciric?
Our model gives 63% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.