Tennis · M25 Louisville · 17/07, 16:00
Prediction: Maximus Dussault vs Ozan Baris
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximus Dussault
Ozan Baris
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maximus Dussault
5-5 (W-L)
Ozan Baris
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maximus Dussault
1–0
Ozan Baris
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximus Dussault 1540 · Ozan Baris 1563
| Maximus Dussault | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maximus Dussault 1–0 Ozan Baris (1).
Statistics
| Maximus Dussault | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.3 | 11.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Maximus Dussault 1 – 0 Ozan Baris (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maximus Dussault 1–0 Ozan Baris
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 M25 Tulsa | 2-1 | 12-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximus Dussault
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Vignesh Gogineni M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Jon Gamble M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Zachery Foster M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Gavin Young M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Marko Miladinovic M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 09/06 | William Manning M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Ozan Baris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Teodor Davidov M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | James Trotter Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximus Dussault vs Ozan Baris?
Our model gives 68% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.