Tennis · M25 Louisville · 17/07, 18:30
Prediction: Alexander Frusina vs Timo Legout
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Frusina
Timo Legout
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Frusina
8-2 (W-L)
Timo Legout
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Frusina 1566 · Timo Legout 1569
| Alexander Frusina | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alexander Frusina | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.4 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-6.8 | 12.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Frusina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | William Jansen M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Ryan Colby M25 Louisville |
1-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Jon Gamble M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Xavier Calvelo M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Ali Habib M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Milledge Cossu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Timo Legout
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Oliver Bonding M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Donald Nikolas Stoot M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mikael Arseneault M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Duncan Chan M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Roberts M25 Laval |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Frusina vs Timo Legout?
Our model gives 66% to Timo Legout, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.