Tennis · M25 Louisville · 18/07, 17:00
Prediction: Mees Rottgering vs Timo Legout
Prediction summary
Winner
Mees Rottgering
Timo Legout
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mees Rottgering
7-3 (W-L)
Timo Legout
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mees Rottgering 1583 · Timo Legout 1591
| Mees Rottgering | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mees Rottgering makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Mees Rottgering | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.9 | 12.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 71% |
| Break % | 57% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mees Rottgering
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Lev Seidman M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Russell Lokko M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Aidan Kim M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Billy Suarez M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Peter Buldorini Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Jerry Roddick M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 25/04 | Daniel Milavsky M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Timo Legout
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Oliver Bonding M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Donald Nikolas Stoot M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mikael Arseneault M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Duncan Chan M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Roberts M25 Laval |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mees Rottgering vs Timo Legout?
Our model gives 51% to Timo Legout, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.