Tennis · M25 Louisville · 17/07, 17:00
Prediction: Aleksa Ciric vs Millen Hurrion
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksa Ciric
Millen Hurrion
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksa Ciric
7-3 (W-L)
Millen Hurrion
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksa Ciric 1597 · Millen Hurrion 1473
| Aleksa Ciric | Millen Hurrion | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksa Ciric (rating 1597 vs 1473).
- Aleksa Ciric is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aleksa Ciric | Millen Hurrion | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-9.9 | 11.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 64.3% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksa Ciric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Alejandro Moreno M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/05 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 20/05 | AJ Deem UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Nick Hardt M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 10/05 | Santiago Perez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Alexander Baez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Millen Hurrion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Luca Pow M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Jules Leroux M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Boulais M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 25/05 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Anton Matusevich M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Alex Knaff M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Natan Rodrigues M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksa Ciric vs Millen Hurrion?
Our model gives 53% to Millen Hurrion, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.