Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 19/07, 10:00
Prediction: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Luca Castagnola
Prediction summary
Winner
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Luca Castagnola
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitris Sakellaridis
5-5 (W-L)
Luca Castagnola
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dimitris Sakellaridis 1538 · Luca Castagnola 1563
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | Luca Castagnola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | Luca Castagnola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.9 | 11.7-8.3 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Radovan Michalik M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Matic Kriznik M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Michael Savano M15 Store |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Bozo Barun M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Mili Poljicak M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Luca Castagnola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Matteo Fondriest M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Matyas Cerny M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Mak Mikovic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Luca Castagnola?
Our model gives 54% to Luca Castagnola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.