Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 16/07, 13:00

Prediction: Maximilian Figl vs Gabriele Bosio

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Maximilian Figl Gabriele Bosio
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maximilian Figl 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLLLWWL
Gabriele Bosio 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maximilian Figl 1442 · Gabriele Bosio 1484
Maximilian FiglGabriele Bosio
Our model44%56%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Bosio (rating 1442 vs 1484).

Statistics

Maximilian FiglGabriele Bosio
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 14% (7) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.2-1.2
Games (G-P)10-12.311.8-11.3
Aces1.30.9
Double faults3.42.2
1st serve %60.8%63%
Break %25.8%48.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maximilian Figl

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Leonardo Iemmi
M15 Nova Gorica
2-1 15-12 W
02/07 Stefano D'Agostino
M15 Store
1-2 13-15 L
01/07 Leyton Rivera
M15 Store
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Nik Mikovic
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
16/06 Pablo Aunion
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
10/06 Radu Mihai Papoe
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
28/05 Calvin Mueller
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
26/05 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
13/05 Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
06/05 Pranav Karthik
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 13-18 L

Gabriele Bosio

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Matic Dimic
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Alejandro Garcia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
01/07 Sergio Planella Hernandez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W
15/06 Simone Massellani
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
07/06 Gianmarco Ferrari
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
0-2 5-13 L
02/06 Adam Majchrzak
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 17-18 L
31/05 Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 11-14 L
30/05 Alexandr Binda
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
29/05 Ivan Iutkin
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
28/05 Lorenzo Rottoli
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 17-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maximilian Figl vs Gabriele Bosio?

Our model gives 63% to Gabriele Bosio, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.