Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Tomas Lanik vs Gabriele Bosio
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Lanik
Gabriele Bosio
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Lanik
5-5 (W-L)
Gabriele Bosio
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tomas Lanik
0–1
Gabriele Bosio
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Lanik 1522 · Gabriele Bosio 1482
| Tomas Lanik | Gabriele Bosio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomas Lanik (rating 1522 vs 1482).
- Head-to-head: Tomas Lanik 0–1 Gabriele Bosio (1).
Statistics
| Tomas Lanik | Gabriele Bosio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.9 | 11.3-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 28.4% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Tomas Lanik 0 – 1 Gabriele Bosio (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tomas Lanik 0–1 Gabriele Bosio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/23 M15 Sharm El Sheikh | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Lanik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Dominik Kellovsky M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Zeno Godi M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Oskar Grzegorzewski M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Borys Zgola M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Gabriele Bosio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Matic Dimic M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Sergio Planella Hernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Simone Massellani M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Adam Majchrzak M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 31/05 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Alexandr Binda M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Ivan Iutkin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Lanik vs Gabriele Bosio?
Our model gives 54% to Gabriele Bosio, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.