Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 18/07, 09:30

Prediction: Lorenzo Bocchi vs Dimitris Sakellaridis

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Lorenzo Bocchi Dimitris Sakellaridis
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Bocchi 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWLWLWWW
Dimitris Sakellaridis 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Bocchi 1514 · Dimitris Sakellaridis 1536
Lorenzo BocchiDimitris Sakellaridis
Our model47%53%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lorenzo BocchiDimitris Sakellaridis
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.81.5-0.9
Games (G-P)10.4-7.612.1-8.9
Aces2.32.1
Double faults2.51.9
1st serve %68.8%62.3%
Break %56.1%47.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Bocchi

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Matic Hribar
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Glib Sekachov
M15 Nova Gorica
1-0 6-3 W
06/07 Gonzalo Villanueva
Challenger Trieste · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
05/07 Lorenzo Berto
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
03/07 Andrej Martin
M15 Umag · ~Clay
1-2 15-15 L
02/07 Nicolo Toffanin
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
25/06 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L
23/06 William Mirarchi
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
15/06 Alexander Weis
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Dimitris Sakellaridis

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Radovan Michalik
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-2 W
16/07 Francesco Ferrari
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-3 W
14/07 Matic Kriznik
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Michael Savano
M15 Store
1-2 16-15 L
01/07 Bozo Barun
M15 Store
2-0 12-2 W
26/06 Oleg Prihodko
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
25/06 Saba Purtseladze
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 18-14 W
23/06 Nicolas Jadoun
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 13-13 W
18/06 Mili Poljicak
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/06 Jan Kupcic
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Bocchi vs Dimitris Sakellaridis?

Our model gives 53% to Lorenzo Bocchi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.