Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Luca Castagnola vs Melios Efstathiou
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Castagnola
Melios Efstathiou
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Castagnola
5-5 (W-L)
Melios Efstathiou
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Castagnola 1545 · Melios Efstathiou 1543
| Luca Castagnola | Melios Efstathiou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luca Castagnola | Melios Efstathiou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9 | 11.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Castagnola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Matteo Fondriest M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Matyas Cerny M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Mak Mikovic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nazar Oliynykov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Melios Efstathiou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Ferri M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Marko Retelj M15 Store |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Mickael Kaouk M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Elijah Sanogo M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Christof Schaertlin Coffey M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/05 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Castagnola vs Melios Efstathiou?
Our model gives 50% to Luca Castagnola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.