Tennis · ATP Bastad · 18/07, 13:00
Prediction: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Luciano Darderi
Prediction summary
Winner
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Luciano Darderi
Estimated games
25.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
5-5 (W-L)
Luciano Darderi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1554 · Luciano Darderi 1540
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.2-13.6 | 13.6-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +4.3
Over 21.5: 77% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 23% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Miguel Damas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-24 | L |
| 21/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Moise Kouame French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-25 | L |
| 17/05 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/05 | Jaume Munar Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/05 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Luciano Darderi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Ethan Quinn Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Francisco Comesana French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-25 | L |
| 26/05 | Sebastian Ofner French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Luciano Darderi?
Our model gives 57% to Luciano Darderi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.