Tennis · ATP Bastad · 17/07, 11:00
Prediction: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Stefano Travaglia
Prediction summary
Winner
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Stefano Travaglia
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
5-5 (W-L)
Stefano Travaglia
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1551 · Stefano Travaglia 1513
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Stefano Travaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Stefano Travaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.2-13.4 | 11.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +4.1
Over 20.5: 76% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 24% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Miguel Damas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-24 | L |
| 21/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Moise Kouame French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-25 | L |
| 17/05 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/05 | Jaume Munar Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/05 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Stefano Travaglia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Yi Zhou Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Luka Mikrut Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Stefano Travaglia?
Our model gives 64% to Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.