Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 17/07, 10:30
Prediction: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Rinderknech
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
27.5Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Rinderknech
5-5 (W-L)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Rinderknech
0–1
Stefanos Tsitsipas
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Rinderknech 1501 · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1493
| Arthur Rinderknech | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Arthur Rinderknech 0–1 Stefanos Tsitsipas (1).
Statistics
| Arthur Rinderknech | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.4 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 17-16.2 | 13.9-14.4 |
| Aces | 16.1 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 80.4% | 77% |
| Break % | 24% | 27.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.5 · Bet365 line 24.5 · +3
Over 24.5: 70% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 30% · 1.83
H2H · Arthur Rinderknech 0 – 1 Stefanos Tsitsipas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Rinderknech 0–1 Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 ATP Rotterdam | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Rinderknech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 03/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
| 01/07 | Martin Damm Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-23 | W |
| 16/06 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Stan Wawrinka Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Corentin Moutet Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Jurij Rodionov French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Jerome Kym ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/07 | Ignacio Buse ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Matteo Arnaldi French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 20/05 | Learner Tien ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Tomas Machac ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Casper Ruud ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 53% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.