Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 16/07, 10:30
Prediction: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Shevchenko
Dominic Stephan Stricker
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Shevchenko
4-6 (W-L)
Dominic Stephan Stricker
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Shevchenko 1524 · Dominic Stephan Stricker 1533
| Alexander Shevchenko | Dominic Stephan Stricker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alexander Shevchenko | Dominic Stephan Stricker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-13 | 11.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -1.2
Over 24.5: 42% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 58% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Shevchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Alex Michelsen French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
Dominic Stephan Stricker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Jaume Munar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Philip Henning Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Niklas Schell M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Alessandro Hunziker M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/05 | Martin Krumich Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Arthur Fery Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker?
Our model gives 52% to Alexander Shevchenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.